Netflix (NFLX): FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 17, 2025

Thu, Jul 17Earnings callSpeaker-labelled transcriptNetflix

On its Jul 17, 2025 earnings call (FY25 Q2), Netflix said 13 of the 28 words Kalshi and Polymarket listed; Parrot’s count agreed with 27 of 28 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

28 words · 13 settled yes · our count agreed on 27 of 28

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Engagement Yes1414✓96%transcripts from the transcript model–
Partnership Yes99✓49%transcripts from the transcript model–
Live Event Yes77✓85%transcripts from the transcript model–
AI / Artificial Intelligence 7+ timesYes55✗32%transcripts from the transcript model–
Squid Game Yes33✓86%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Gaming Yes22✓66%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
India Yes22✓58%transcripts from the transcript model–
Interface Yes22✓34%transcripts from the transcript model–
Q3 Yes11✓71%transcripts from the transcript model–
Tier Yes11✓68%transcripts from the transcript model–
America Yes11✓64%transcripts from the transcript model–
Grand Theft Auto Yes11✓45%transcripts from the transcript model–
Ad-supported Yes11✓30%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Netflix 30+ timesNo2222✓21%transcripts from the transcript model–
Million / Billion / Trillion 15+ timesNo99✓36%transcripts from the transcript model–
Movie 7+ timesNo66✓40%transcripts from the transcript model–
Subscriber No00✓81%transcripts from the transcript model–
Canada No00✓77%transcripts from the transcript model–
Churn No00✓66%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Russia No00✓55%transcripts from the transcript model–
Recession No00✓39%transcripts from the transcript model–
Tariff No00✓33%transcripts from the transcript model–
Debt No00✓32%transcripts from the transcript model–
Password No00✓27%transcripts from the transcript model–
Advertisement No00✓26%transcripts from the transcript model–
Anime No00✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–
Crypto / Bitcoin No00✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–
Downgrade No00✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

2 matches for “Interface”; 2 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Gregory Peterscompanyqa

…That's a totally different job, and we really need a different user interface to do that job well. Add to that, we saw the opportunity…

Gregory Peterscompanyqa

…to basically have a sort of natural language discussion with our user interface thing. I want to watch a film from the '80s that's a…

Where the listed words were said

Gregory Peterscompany“Engagement” · qa

…we've done since the last quarter have been in line with expectations. Engagement also remains healthy. So things all look stable from those indicators and…

Spencer Wangcompany“Partnership” · qa

…from Loop Capital next. Can you provide more information on the TF1 partnership? Why did you choose to add TF1 in France as opposed to…

Spencer Neumanncompany“Live Event” · qa

…Q4. We've got many of our biggest new and returning titles and live events in the back half of the year. We've also -- Q4…

Spencer Wangcompany“AI / Artificial Intelligence (7+)” · qa

…from Justin Patterson of KeyBanc. Could you please talk about your generative AI initiatives? Where do you think GenAI will be most impactful over time,…

Spencer Wangcompany“Squid Game” · qa

…The content in the back half of the year looks strong with Squid Game 3 already the third most popular non-English series ever, and Wednesday…

Spencer Wangcompany“Gaming” · qa

…question comes from Brian Pitz of BMO Capital Markets. With your evolving gaming ambitions, including partnerships with Grand Theft Auto and the recently announced Roblox…

Theodore Sarandoscompany“India” · qa

…Boroughs. We've got The Human Vapor from Japan, Operation Safed Sagar from India, Can This Love Be Translated? from Korea. So again, popular programming, new…

Spencer Wangcompany“Tier” · qa

…and the recently announced TF1 partnership. Is there a path to additional tiers of service based on types of content available? Or will Netflix always…

Spencer Wangcompany“America” · qa

…We'll take our last question from Jessica Reif Ehrlich of Bank of America Securities. Given your healthy balance sheet and what appears to be a…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/netflix:2025-07-17:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=netflix:2025-07-17:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP