Will Elon Musk say “Knicks”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Elon Musk did not say “Knicks” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 8% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

In the one transcript we have (1 keynote; Jan 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 posts windows have transcripts, it did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only).

8%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Elon Musk

Knicks

Probability
8% · n=2
Settled
0/2 (0%)
Last 1 transcript
said in 0 of 1

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Elon post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Elon post this week? (October 5 - October 11) · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Elon post this week? (September 28 - October 4) · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Elon post this week? (September 21 - September 27) · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Elon post this week? (September 14 - September 20) · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Elon post this week? (September 7 - September 13) · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Elon post this week? (August 31 - September 6) · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Elon post this week? (August 24 - August 30) · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Elon post this week? (August 17 - August 23) · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Elon post this week? (August 10 - August 16) · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jul 5, 2026KnicksPolymarketNo≈0 (settled no · our count of 0 includes reposts, so it is not graded)
Jun 21, 2026KnicksPolymarketNo≈0 (settled no · our count of 0 includes reposts, so it is not graded)

Questions

How often does Elon Musk say “Knicks”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Elon Musk did not say “Knicks” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 21, 2026.
What is the probability Elon Musk says “Knicks” next time?
8%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Elon Musk: ‘Knicks’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/elon-musk/words/knick (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=elon-musk&word=knick · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=elon-musk&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP