Will Elon Musk say “Humanoid”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Elon Musk said “Humanoid” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 13, 2025.
In the one transcript we have (1 keynote; Jan 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Elon Musk
Humanoid
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 1 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (1 keynote); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…think of it is that if you have a large number of humanoid robots, um the economic output is the average productivity per robot times…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2025 | Humanoid |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Elon Musk say “Humanoid”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Elon Musk said “Humanoid” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 13, 2025.
- What is the probability Elon Musk says “Humanoid” next time?
- 54%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Elon Musk: ‘Humanoid’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/elon-musk/words/humanoid (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=elon-musk&word=humanoid · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=elon-musk&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP