Will Elon Musk say “Consciousness”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Elon Musk did not say “Consciousness” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 4, 2026.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Elon Musk
Consciousness
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…civilization has a great future. Um and uh to [clears throat] expand consciousness beyond Earth. So, if you take SpaceX, for example, that's SpaceX is…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | Consciousness |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Elon Musk say “Consciousness”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Elon Musk did not say “Consciousness” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 4, 2026.
- What is the probability Elon Musk says “Consciousness” next time?
- 19%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Elon Musk: ‘Consciousness’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/elon-musk/words/consciousness (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=elon-musk&word=consciousness · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=elon-musk&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP