Will David Ellison say “Amazon / Disney”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, David Ellison said “Amazon / Disney” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 27, 2026.
In the one transcript we have (1 keynote; Mar 27, 2026), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
David Ellison
Amazon / Disney
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 1 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
1 counted.
…And that's while investing over $30 billion in content. To contextualize that Disney invest 22 and Netflix is 20. So we'll actually be in a…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2026 | Amazon / Disney |  Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
Questions
- How often does David Ellison say “Amazon / Disney”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, David Ellison said “Amazon / Disney” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 27, 2026.
- What is the probability David Ellison says “Amazon / Disney” next time?
- 73%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “David Ellison: ‘Amazon / Disney’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/david-ellison/words/amazon-or-disney (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=david-ellison&word=amazon%20%2F%20disney · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=david-ellison&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP