Will Donald Trump say “Before Jun 2025”?
As of Oct 28, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Before Jun 2025” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jun 1, 2025.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (6 rallies, 2 remarks; Oct 20, 2026 – Oct 27, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 27, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Before Jun 2025
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 2025 | Before Jun 2025 |  Kalshi | No | – (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Before Jun 2025”?
- As of Oct 28, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Before Jun 2025” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jun 1, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Before Jun 2025” next time?
- 57%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Before Jun 2025’ mention history”, as of Oct 28, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/before-jun-2025 (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=before%20jun%202025 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP