Arizona Diamondbacks at Philadelphia Phillies
3-4Final
History only on Kalshi: sports mention markets paused 31 Jul 2026 Kalshi: play-by-play or color 
Kalshi
KalshiWords
18 words · history before this game| Word | League | Last 10 | These teams | Network | Probability | Result | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Challenge | 28/2997% | 10/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes | 100% n=5 | 100% n=16 | 94%n=29 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Double Play | 28/2997% | 9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes | 100% n=5 | 94% n=16 | 92%n=29 from settlement history | No | – |
| Triple | 24/2983% | 9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes | 80% n=5 | 88% n=16 | 80%n=29 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| MVP | 23/2882% | 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes no yes yes no yes yes yes | 80% n=5 | 75% n=16 | 77%n=28 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Trade / Traded | 20/2580% | 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no no yes yes yes yes yes | 100% n=5 | 81% n=16 | 75%n=25 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Bunt / Bunted | 17/2568% | 9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes no | 80% n=5 | 81% n=16 | 70%n=25 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Error | 21/2972% | 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no yes yes yes yes yes yes | 60% n=5 | 81% n=16 | 66%n=29 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Citizens Bank Park | 1/1100% | 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes | – | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | Yes | – |
| Bases Loaded | 15/2952% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes yes yes yes no no yes no | 40% n=5 | 56% n=16 | 53%n=29 from settlement history | No | – |
| Grand Slam | 15/2952% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes no no yes no yes no | 80% n=5 | 44% n=16 | 52%n=29 from settlement history | No | – |
| Wild Pitch | 12/2941% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no yes no yes no yes no | 0% n=5 | 50% n=16 | 46%n=29 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Ohtani | 12/2646% | 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no yes yes yes yes yes no | 60% n=5 | 50% n=16 | 45%n=26 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Extra Inning | 12/2941% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes yes yes no no yes no no | 60% n=5 | 44% n=16 | 41%n=29 from settlement history | No | – |
| Walk Off | 11/2938% | 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no yes no no no yes no | 40% n=5 | 25% n=16 | 36%n=29 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Pitch Clock | 7/2924% | 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no yes no yes no no | 40% n=5 | 19% n=16 | 26%n=29 from settlement history | No | – |
| Robot | 2/258% | 2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no no yes no no no | 0% n=5 | 6% n=16 | 13%n=25 from settlement history | No | – |
| What a Catch | 2/297% | 1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no yes no no no no no | 0% n=5 | 12% n=16 | 13%n=29 from settlement history | No | – |
| Event does not qualify | 0/250% | 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no | 0% n=5 | 0% n=16 | – | No | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal.
Transcript
History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?appearance=mlb%3A2026-04-11%3Agame-ari-phi · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP