# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-04-11 · 17 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26APR11AZPHI · as_of 2026-10-25T00:56:55Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-04-11 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26APR11AZPHI ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Arizona vs Philadelphia Professional Baseball Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Challenge	challenge	29	28	0.97	YYYYYYYYYY	0.94	yes
Double Play	double play	29	28	0.97	YnYYYYYYYY	0.92	no
Triple	triple	29	24	0.83	YnYYYYYYYY	0.8	yes
MVP	mvp	28	23	0.82	nnYYYYnYYY	0.77	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	25	20	0.8	nYnnYYYYYY	0.75	yes
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	24	17	0.71	YYYYYYYYYn	0.7	yes
Error	error	29	21	0.72	nnYYYYYYYY	0.66	yes
Citizens Bank Park	citizens bank park	1	1	1	Y	0.65	yes
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	29	15	0.52	YnnYYYnnYn	0.53	no
Grand Slam	grand slam	29	15	0.52	YnnnYnYYnn	0.52	no
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	29	12	0.41	YYnYYnYYnn	0.46	yes
Ohtani	ohtani	26	12	0.46	nnnYnYYYnY	0.45	yes
Extra Inning	extra inning	29	12	0.41	nnYYnnnnnY	0.41	no
Walk Off	walk off	29	11	0.38	nnnYnnnnYn	0.36	yes
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	29	7	0.24	nYnnnYnnnY	0.26	no
Robot	robot	25	2	0.08	nnnnnnYnnn	0.13	no
What a Catch	what a catch	29	2	0.07	nnnYnnnnnn	0.13	no