Will Usha Vance say “Iran”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Usha Vance did not say “Iran” at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 30, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 29% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
29%from settlement history only · n=3counts: anyone
- Last 10
- 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- anyone
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Usha Vance
Iran
- Probability
- 29% · n=3
- Settled
- 0/3 (0%)
Next listing counts: anyone
We don’t have transcripts for Usha Vance yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
Polymarket
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Usha Vance say “Iran”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Usha Vance did not say “Iran” at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 30, 2026.
- What is the probability Usha Vance says “Iran” next time?
- 29%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “Usha Vance: ‘Iran’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/usha-vance/words/iran (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=usha-vance&word=iran · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=usha-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP