Usha Vance

Politics · Other officials & figuresPersonHistory onlyUpdated Oct 23, 2026, 23:51 UTC

Export

Copy

---

API

Open as TSVfor agentsOpen as JSONcolumnarOpen as Markdowntable

GET /api/v1/entity/usha-vance

As of Oct 23, 2026, Kalshi and Polymarket have settled 39 word markets on Usha Vance’s appearances since 2026, on 28 different words.

History Wall

1–29 of 29, most settled first

Usha Vance: every word with settled markets, most settled first

Word	Mar 30episode	Apr 4episode	Jul 3latest	Last 3	Settled	Probability
Iran	NSettled no: Iran, Mar 30 episode	NSettled no: Iran, Apr 4 episode	NSettled no: Iran, Jul 3 appearance	0/30%	0/30%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
250	NSettled no: 250, Mar 30 episode	NSettled no: 250, Apr 4 episode	–Not listed: 250, Jul 3 appearance	0/20%	0/20%	–
AI / Artificial Intelligence	NSettled no: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Mar 30 episode	NSettled no: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Apr 4 episode	–Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jul 3 appearance	0/20%	0/20%	–
Healthcare	NSettled no: Healthcare, Mar 30 episode	NSettled no: Healthcare, Apr 4 episode	–Not listed: Healthcare, Jul 3 appearance	0/20%	0/20%	–
Melania	NSettled no: Melania, Mar 30 episode	NSettled no: Melania, Apr 4 episode	–Not listed: Melania, Jul 3 appearance	0/20%	0/20%	–
Military	NSettled no: Military, Mar 30 episode	NSettled no: Military, Apr 4 episode	–Not listed: Military, Jul 3 appearance	0/20%	0/20%	–
Secret Service	NSettled no: Secret Service, Mar 30 episode	NSettled no: Secret Service, Apr 4 episode	–Not listed: Secret Service, Jul 3 appearance	0/20%	0/20%	–
Trump	NSettled no: Trump, Mar 30 episode	NSettled no: Trump, Apr 4 episode	–Not listed: Trump, Jul 3 appearance	0/20%	0/20%	–
White House	NSettled no: White House, Mar 30 episode	NSettled no: White House, Apr 4 episode	–Not listed: White House, Jul 3 appearance	0/20%	0/20%	–
Little	–Not listed: Little, Mar 30 episode	–Not listed: Little, Apr 4 episode	YSettled yes: Little, Jul 3 appearance	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
President	–Not listed: President, Mar 30 episode	–Not listed: President, Apr 4 episode	YSettled yes: President, Jul 3 appearance	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Right	–Not listed: Right, Mar 30 episode	–Not listed: Right, Apr 4 episode	YSettled yes: Right, Jul 3 appearance	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Time	–Not listed: Time, Mar 30 episode	–Not listed: Time, Apr 4 episode	YSettled yes: Time, Jul 3 appearance	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Baby	–Not listed: Baby, Mar 30 episode	–Not listed: Baby, Apr 4 episode	NSettled no: Baby, Jul 3 appearance	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Bet	–Not listed: Bet, Mar 30 episode	–Not listed: Bet, Apr 4 episode	NSettled no: Bet, Jul 3 appearance	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Blue	–Not listed: Blue, Mar 30 episode	–Not listed: Blue, Apr 4 episode	NSettled no: Blue, Jul 3 appearance	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Family	–Not listed: Family, Mar 30 episode	–Not listed: Family, Apr 4 episode	NSettled no: Family, Jul 3 appearance	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Friendship	–Not listed: Friendship, Mar 30 episode	–Not listed: Friendship, Apr 4 episode	NSettled no: Friendship, Jul 3 appearance	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Learn	–Not listed: Learn, Mar 30 episode	–Not listed: Learn, Apr 4 episode	NSettled no: Learn, Jul 3 appearance	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Left	–Not listed: Left, Mar 30 episode	–Not listed: Left, Apr 4 episode	NSettled no: Left, Jul 3 appearance	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Literacy	NSettled no: Literacy, Mar 30 episode	–Not listed: Literacy, Apr 4 episode	–Not listed: Literacy, Jul 3 appearance	0/10%	0/10%	–
Money	–Not listed: Money, Mar 30 episode	–Not listed: Money, Apr 4 episode	NSettled no: Money, Jul 3 appearance	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Music	–Not listed: Music, Mar 30 episode	–Not listed: Music, Apr 4 episode	NSettled no: Music, Jul 3 appearance	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Pregnant / Pregnancy	–Not listed: Pregnant / Pregnancy, Mar 30 episode	NSettled no: Pregnant / Pregnancy, Apr 4 episode	–Not listed: Pregnant / Pregnancy, Jul 3 appearance	0/10%	0/10%	–
Rain	–Not listed: Rain, Mar 30 episode	–Not listed: Rain, Apr 4 episode	NSettled no: Rain, Jul 3 appearance	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Red	–Not listed: Red, Mar 30 episode	–Not listed: Red, Apr 4 episode	NSettled no: Red, Jul 3 appearance	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Rhythm	–Not listed: Rhythm, Mar 30 episode	–Not listed: Rhythm, Apr 4 episode	NSettled no: Rhythm, Jul 3 appearance	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Riddle	–Not listed: Riddle, Mar 30 episode	–Not listed: Riddle, Apr 4 episode	NSettled no: Riddle, Jul 3 appearance	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Trump10+ times	–Not listed: Trump 10+ times, Mar 30 episode	–Not listed: Trump 10+ times, Apr 4 episode	NSettled no: Trump 10+ times, Jul 3 appearance	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability

• Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
• N: settled no
• not listed
• probability next time, with n
• Select a word or a cell for its quotes

What the columns mean

Last N

of the appearances shown, how many counted as said

Settled

every settled market of the word: said / listed

Probability

the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

Citeparrot.markets, “Usha Vance: mention market word history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/usha-vance (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/usha-vance · words: /api/v1/history?entity=usha-vance · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP