Usha Vance: Appearance, Jul 3, 2026

By Jul 3AppearanceHistory onlyUsha Vance

Updated

Markets

19 words · 4 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Little Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
President Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Right Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Time Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Baby No–new new word, no probability yet–
Bet No–new new word, no probability yet–
Blue No–new new word, no probability yet–
Family No–new new word, no probability yet–
Friendship No–new new word, no probability yet–
Iran No–new new word, no probability yet–
Learn No–new new word, no probability yet–
Left No–new new word, no probability yet–
Money No–new new word, no probability yet–
Music No–new new word, no probability yet–
Rain No–new new word, no probability yet–
Red No–new new word, no probability yet–
Rhythm No–new new word, no probability yet–
Riddle No–new new word, no probability yet–
Trump 10+ timesNo–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-during-the-next-storytime-with-the-second-lady-20260625203400696 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP