Tulsi Gabbard

Politics · VP & cabinetPersonTrump administrationMachine-attributedUpdated Oct 24, 2026, 11:16 UTC

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As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 36 word markets on Tulsi Gabbard’s appearances since 2026, on 18 different words.

History Wall

1–18 of 18, most settled first

Tulsi Gabbard: every word with settled markets, most settled first

Word	Mar 18hearing	Mar 19latest	Last 2	Settled	Probability
AI / Artificial Intelligence	YSettled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Mar 18 hearing	YSettled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Mar 19 hearing	2/2100%	2/2100%	72%n=2 from settlement history
Cartel	YSettled yes: Cartel, Mar 18 hearing	YSettled yes: Cartel, Mar 19 hearing	2/2100%	2/2100%	72%n=2 from settlement history
Election	YSettled yes: Election, Mar 18 hearing	YSettled yes: Election, Mar 19 hearing	2/2100%	2/2100%	72%n=2 from settlement history
FBI	YSettled yes: FBI, Mar 18 hearing	YSettled yes: FBI, Mar 19 hearing	2/2100%	2/2100%	72%n=2 from settlement history
Fentanyl	YSettled yes: Fentanyl, Mar 18 hearing	YSettled yes: Fentanyl, Mar 19 hearing	2/2100%	2/2100%	72%n=2 from settlement history
Hamas	YSettled yes: Hamas, Mar 18 hearing	YSettled yes: Hamas, Mar 19 hearing	2/2100%	2/2100%	72%n=2 from settlement history
Hormuz	YSettled yes: Hormuz, Mar 18 hearing	YSettled yes: Hormuz, Mar 19 hearing	2/2100%	2/2100%	72%n=2 from settlement history
Iran	YSettled yes: Iran, Mar 18 hearing	YSettled yes: Iran, Mar 19 hearing	2/2100%	2/2100%	72%n=2 from settlement history
ISIS	YSettled yes: ISIS, Mar 18 hearing	YSettled yes: ISIS, Mar 19 hearing	2/2100%	2/2100%	72%n=2 from settlement history
Mexico / Mexican	YSettled yes: Mexico / Mexican, Mar 18 hearing	YSettled yes: Mexico / Mexican, Mar 19 hearing	2/2100%	2/2100%	72%n=2 from settlement history
Nuclear	YSettled yes: Nuclear, Mar 18 hearing	YSettled yes: Nuclear, Mar 19 hearing	2/2100%	2/2100%	72%n=2 from settlement history
Terrorist / Terrorism	YSettled yes: Terrorist / Terrorism, Mar 18 hearing	YSettled yes: Terrorist / Terrorism, Mar 19 hearing	2/2100%	2/2100%	72%n=2 from settlement history
Trump3+ times	YSettled yes: Trump (3+ times), Mar 18 hearing	YSettled yes: Trump (3+ times), Mar 19 hearing	2/2100%	2/2100%	72%n=2 from settlement history
Ukraine	YSettled yes: Ukraine, Mar 18 hearing	YSettled yes: Ukraine, Mar 19 hearing	2/2100%	2/2100%	72%n=2 from settlement history
Cyberattack / Cyber Attack	NSettled no: Cyberattack / Cyber Attack, Mar 18 hearing	NSettled no: Cyberattack / Cyber Attack, Mar 19 hearing	0/20%	0/20%	45%n=2 from settlement history
ICE / DHS	NSettled no: ICE / DHS, Mar 18 hearing	NSettled no: ICE / DHS, Mar 19 hearing	0/20%	0/20%	45%n=2 from settlement history
Drone	NSettled no: Drone, Mar 18 hearing	NSettled no: Drone, Mar 19 hearing	0/20%	0/20%	45%n=2 from settlement history
Hawaii	NSettled no: Hawaii, Mar 18 hearing	NSettled no: Hawaii, Mar 19 hearing	0/20%	0/20%	45%n=2 from settlement history

• Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
• N: settled no
• not listed
• probability next time, with n
• Select a word or a cell for its quotes

What the columns mean

Last N

of the appearances shown, how many counted as said

Settled

every settled market of the word: said / listed

Probability

the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

Citeparrot.markets, “Tulsi Gabbard: mention market word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/tulsi-gabbard (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/tulsi-gabbard · words: /api/v1/history?entity=tulsi-gabbard · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP