Will Tulsi Gabbard say “Fentanyl”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Tulsi Gabbard said “Fentanyl” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 18, 2026 (100%), most recently on Mar 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 72% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the one transcript we have (1 press briefing; Jul 23, 2025), since fewer than 2 hearings have transcripts, it did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Tulsi Gabbard
Fentanyl
- Probability
- 72% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 0 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Tulsi Gabbard say “Fentanyl”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Tulsi Gabbard said “Fentanyl” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 18, 2026 (100%), most recently on Mar 19, 2026.
- What is the probability Tulsi Gabbard says “Fentanyl” next time?
- 72%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Tulsi Gabbard: ‘Fentanyl’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/tulsi-gabbard/words/fentanyl (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tulsi-gabbard&word=fentanyl · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tulsi-gabbard&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP