Will Tulsi Gabbard say “ICE / DHS”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Tulsi Gabbard did not say “ICE / DHS” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 18, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 45% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

In the one transcript we have (1 press briefing; Jul 23, 2025), since fewer than 2 hearings have transcripts, it did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only).

45%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Tulsi Gabbard

ICE / DHS

Probability
45% · n=2
Settled
0/2 (0%)
Last 1 transcript
said in 0 of 1

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Tulsi Gabbard say during the hearing on Worldwide Threats? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Tulsi Gabbard say during the Senate hearing on Worldwide Threats? · settled no

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Mar 19, 2026ICE / DHSKalshiNo
Mar 18, 2026ICE / DHSKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Tulsi Gabbard say “ICE / DHS”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Tulsi Gabbard did not say “ICE / DHS” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 18, 2026.
What is the probability Tulsi Gabbard says “ICE / DHS” next time?
45%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Tulsi Gabbard: ‘ICE / DHS’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/tulsi-gabbard/words/dhs-or-ice (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tulsi-gabbard&word=dhs%20%2F%20ice · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tulsi-gabbard&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP