Will Tulsi Gabbard say “Iran”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Tulsi Gabbard said “Iran” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 18, 2026 (100%), most recently on Mar 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 72% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the one transcript we have (1 press briefing; Jul 23, 2025), since fewer than 2 hearings have transcripts, it did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Tulsi Gabbard
Iran
- Probability
- 72% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 0 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (1 press briefing); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…end wars. Again, all of this in just six months. He obliterated Iran's nuclear program to end the war between Israel and Iran, got NATO…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Tulsi Gabbard say “Iran”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Tulsi Gabbard said “Iran” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 18, 2026 (100%), most recently on Mar 19, 2026.
- What is the probability Tulsi Gabbard says “Iran” next time?
- 72%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Tulsi Gabbard: ‘Iran’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/tulsi-gabbard/words/iran (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tulsi-gabbard&word=iran · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tulsi-gabbard&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP