Will Ron DeSantis say “Fraud”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Ron DeSantis did not say “Fraud” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 14, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 36% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

36%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=ron-desantis&word=fraud

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Ron DeSantis

Fraud

Probability
36% · n=2
Settled
0/2 (0%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Ron DeSantis yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Ron DeSantis say during Fox News: Life, Liberty & Levin? · settled no

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What will Ron Desantis say during his State of the State Address? · settled no

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Aug 2, 2026FraudKalshiNo
Jan 14, 2026FraudKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Ron DeSantis say “Fraud”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Ron DeSantis did not say “Fraud” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 14, 2026.
What is the probability Ron DeSantis says “Fraud” next time?
36%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Ron DeSantis: ‘Fraud’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/ron-desantis/words/fraud (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=ron-desantis&word=fraud · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=ron-desantis&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP