Ron DeSantis
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 28 word markets on Ron DeSantis’ appearances since 2026, on 27 different words.
History Wall
1–27 of 27, most settled first| Word | Jan 14speech | Aug 2latest | Last 2 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fraud | Settled no: Fraud, Jan 14 speech | Settled no: Fraud, Aug 2 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Constitution / Constitutional | Not listed: Constitution / Constitutional, Jan 14 speech | Settled yes: Constitution / Constitutional, Aug 2 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| DEI / Woke | Settled yes: DEI / Woke, Jan 14 speech | Not listed: DEI / Woke, Aug 2 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Democrat / Democratic Party | Not listed: Democrat / Democratic Party, Jan 14 speech | Settled yes: Democrat / Democratic Party, Aug 2 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Economy / Economic | Settled yes: Economy / Economic, Jan 14 speech | Not listed: Economy / Economic, Aug 2 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Hurricane | Settled yes: Hurricane, Jan 14 speech | Not listed: Hurricane, Aug 2 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Immigrant / Immigration | Settled yes: Immigrant / Immigration, Jan 14 speech | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Aug 2 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Midterm | Not listed: Midterm, Jan 14 speech | Settled yes: Midterm, Aug 2 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Property Tax | Settled yes: Property Tax, Jan 14 speech | Not listed: Property Tax, Aug 2 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Senate | Not listed: Senate, Jan 14 speech | Settled yes: Senate, Aug 2 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| 2028 / Campaign | Settled no: 2028 / Campaign, Jan 14 speech | Not listed: 2028 / Campaign, Aug 2 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Ballot | Not listed: Ballot, Jan 14 speech | Settled no: Ballot, Aug 2 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| ICE / Border | Settled no: ICE / Border, Jan 14 speech | Not listed: ICE / Border, Aug 2 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Newsom / California | Settled no: Newsom / California, Jan 14 speech | Not listed: Newsom / California, Aug 2 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Chuck Schumer / Schumer | Not listed: Chuck Schumer / Schumer, Jan 14 speech | Settled no: Chuck Schumer / Schumer, Aug 2 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Election Integrity | Not listed: Election Integrity, Jan 14 speech | Settled no: Election Integrity, Aug 2 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Radical Left / Far Left | Not listed: Radical Left / Far Left, Jan 14 speech | Settled no: Radical Left / Far Left, Aug 2 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Filibuster | Not listed: Filibuster, Jan 14 speech | Settled no: Filibuster, Aug 2 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Healthcare | Settled no: Healthcare, Jan 14 speech | Not listed: Healthcare, Aug 2 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Jim Crow | Not listed: Jim Crow, Jan 14 speech | Settled no: Jim Crow, Aug 2 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| John Thune / Thune | Not listed: John Thune / Thune, Jan 14 speech | Settled no: John Thune / Thune, Aug 2 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Maduro / Oil | Settled no: Maduro / Oil, Jan 14 speech | Not listed: Maduro / Oil, Aug 2 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Mail-in Voting | Not listed: Mail-in Voting, Jan 14 speech | Settled no: Mail-in Voting, Aug 2 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Redistricting | Settled no: Redistricting, Jan 14 speech | Not listed: Redistricting, Aug 2 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Voter Registration / Register to Vote | Not listed: Voter Registration / Register to Vote, Jan 14 speech | Settled no: Voter Registration / Register to Vote, Aug 2 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Tourism / Tourist | Settled no: Tourism / Tourist, Jan 14 speech | Not listed: Tourism / Tourist, Aug 2 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Trump | Settled no: Trump, Jan 14 speech | Not listed: Trump, Aug 2 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 2Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Ron DeSantis say during Fox News: Life, Liberty & Levin? | no transcript | 15 | 4 yes · 11 no | – |
| Jan 14, 2026 | SpeechWhat will Ron Desantis say during his State of the State Address? | no transcript | 14 | 5 yes · 9 no | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Ron DeSantis: mention market word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/ron-desantis (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/ron-desantis · words: /api/v1/history?entity=ron-desantis · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP