Ron DeSantis: Speech, Jan 14, 2026
Kalshi What will Ron Desantis say during his State of the State Address?
Markets
14 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEI / Woke | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Economy / Economic | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hurricane | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Property Tax | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| 2028 / Campaign | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fraud | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Healthcare | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ICE / Border | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Maduro / Oil | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Newsom / California | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Redistricting | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tourism / Tourist | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXDESANTISMENTION-26JAN14 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP