Will Rand Paul say “Democrat”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Rand Paul said “Democrat” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 22, 2026 (50%), most recently on Apr 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 45% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
45%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Rand Paul
Democrat
- Probability
- 45% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Rand Paul yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Rand Paul say “Democrat”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Rand Paul said “Democrat” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 22, 2026 (50%), most recently on Apr 22, 2026.
- What is the probability Rand Paul says “Democrat” next time?
- 45%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Rand Paul: ‘Democrat’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/rand-paul/words/democrat (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=rand-paul&word=democrat · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=rand-paul&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP