What is the probability Marjorie Taylor Greene says “Democrat” next time?

59%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Marjorie Taylor Greene say “Democrat”?

Name: Marjorie Taylor Greene: “Democrat” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 25, 2026, Marjorie Taylor Greene said “Democrat” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 1, 2025 (100%), most recently on Jan 4, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 59% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.

59%from settlement history only · n=3counts: named speaker only

Last 10: 3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
Streak: said the last 3 times
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 25, 2026, 02:29 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Marjorie Taylor Greene

Democrat

Probability: 59% · n=3
Settled: 3/3 (100%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Marjorie Taylor Greene yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Marjorie Taylor Greene say during Meet the Press? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Marjorie Taylor Greene say on 60 Minutes? · settled yes

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What will Marjorie Taylor Greene say during Real Time with Bill Maher? · settled yes

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result
Jan 5, 2026	Democrat	Kalshi	Yes
Dec 8, 2025	Democrat	Kalshi	Yes
Nov 1, 2025	Democrat	Kalshi	Yes

Questions

How often does Marjorie Taylor Greene say “Democrat”?: As of Oct 25, 2026, Marjorie Taylor Greene said “Democrat” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 1, 2025 (100%), most recently on Jan 4, 2026.
What is the probability Marjorie Taylor Greene says “Democrat” next time?: 59%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Marjorie Taylor Greene: ‘Democrat’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/marjorie-taylor-greene/words/democrat (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=marjorie-taylor-greene&word=democrat · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=marjorie-taylor-greene&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP