Will Jill Biden say “Democrat / Democratic”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Jill Biden said “Democrat / Democratic” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 31, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jun 2, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Jill Biden
Democrat / Democratic
- Probability
- 40% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Jill Biden yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2, 2026 | Democrat / Democratic |  Kalshi | Yes |
| May 31, 2026 | Democrat / Democratic | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Jill Biden say “Democrat / Democratic”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Jill Biden said “Democrat / Democratic” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 31, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jun 2, 2026.
- What is the probability Jill Biden says “Democrat / Democratic” next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Jill Biden: ‘Democrat / Democratic’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jill-biden/words/democrat-or-democratic (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jill-biden&word=democrat%20%2F%20democratic · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jill-biden&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP