Jill Biden: Interview, May 31, 2026

Sun, May 31InterviewHistory onlyJill Biden

Updated

Markets

10 words · 1 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Trump Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
2028 / Campaign No–new new word, no probability yet–
Afford / Affordable / Affordability No–new new word, no probability yet–
Autopen No–new new word, no probability yet–
Democrat / Democratic No–new new word, no probability yet–
Golf / Golfer / Golfing No–new new word, no probability yet–
Kamala / Harris No–new new word, no probability yet–
Melania No–new new word, no probability yet–
Newsom No–new new word, no probability yet–
Republican No–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

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