Jill Biden: Interview, Jun 2, 2026
Kalshi What will Jill Biden say during MS NOW: Morning Joe?
Markets
12 words · 4 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| 2028 / Campaign | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Democrat / Democratic | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Kamala / Harris | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Ballroom | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Stroke | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Autopen | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Golf / Golfer / Golfing | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Melania | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Newsom | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Republican | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXPERSONMENTION-26JUN02 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP