What is the probability Gretchen Whitmer says “Immigrant / Immigration” next time?

47%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Gretchen Whitmer say “Immigrant / Immigration”?

Name: Gretchen Whitmer: “Immigrant / Immigration” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 26, 2026, Gretchen Whitmer said “Immigrant / Immigration” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 22, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jan 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

47%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only

Last 10: 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
Streak: not said last time
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 26, 2026, 22:54 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Gretchen Whitmer

Immigrant / Immigration

Probability: 47% · n=2
Settled: 1/2 (50%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Gretchen Whitmer yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Gretchen Whitmer say during her State of the State Address? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will the US Governors say during the WEF? · settled yes

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What will Gretchen Whitmer say during DNC speech? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result
Feb 26, 2026	Immigrant / Immigration	Kalshi	No
Jan 22, 2026	Immigrant / Immigration	Kalshi	Yes

Questions

How often does Gretchen Whitmer say “Immigrant / Immigration”?: As of Oct 26, 2026, Gretchen Whitmer said “Immigrant / Immigration” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 22, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jan 21, 2026.
What is the probability Gretchen Whitmer says “Immigrant / Immigration” next time?: 47%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Gretchen Whitmer: ‘Immigrant / Immigration’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/gretchen-whitmer/words/immigrant-or-immigration (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=gretchen-whitmer&word=immigrant%20%2F%20immigration · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=gretchen-whitmer&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP