Gretchen Whitmer: Speech, Aug 22, 2024
Polymarket What will Gretchen Whitmer say during DNC speech?
Markets
16 words · 2 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Big Gretch | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Michigan | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Abortion | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Climate Change | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Convicted Felon | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Democracy | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Don't give up | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Donald Trump 3+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Flint | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gay | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Glass Ceiling | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Inflation | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Israel | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Muslim | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Obamacare/ACA | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| White House | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-gretchen-whitmer-say-during-dnc-speech · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP