Will Steve Bannon say “Conspiracy”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Steve Bannon did not say “Conspiracy” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Dec 22, 2025.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Steve Bannon

Conspiracy

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
0/1 (0%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Steve Bannon yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Steve Bannon say during Semafor World Economy? · not listed

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What will Steve Bannon say during his CPAC discussion? · not listed

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What will Steve Bannon say during Turning Point America Fest? · settled no

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What will Steve Bannon say at AmericaFest on December 19? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Dec 22, 2025ConspiracyKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Steve Bannon say “Conspiracy”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Steve Bannon did not say “Conspiracy” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Dec 22, 2025.
What is the probability Steve Bannon says “Conspiracy” next time?
29%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Steve Bannon: ‘Conspiracy’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/steve-bannon/words/conspiracy (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=steve-bannon&word=conspiracy · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=steve-bannon&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP