Steve Bannon: Remarks, Dec 22, 2025

Mon, Dec 22RemarksHistory onlySteve Bannon

Updated

Markets

13 words · 4 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Biden Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Breitbart Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Free Speech / Freedom of Speech Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Trump Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Alex Jones No–new new word, no probability yet–
Campaign No–new new word, no probability yet–
Conspiracy No–new new word, no probability yet–
Economy No–new new word, no probability yet–
Epstein No–new new word, no probability yet–
Radical Left No–new new word, no probability yet–
Socialism / Socialist No–new new word, no probability yet–
Tariff No–new new word, no probability yet–
Third Term No–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

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