Steve Bannon: Speech, Dec 19, 2025
Polymarket What will Steve Bannon say at AmericaFest on December 19?
Markets
19 words · 4 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Israel | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Populist / Populism 2+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Prison | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump 10+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| America First | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Biden 5+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| China / Chinese / CCP 3+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Deep State / Administrative State | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Elon / Musk | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| EU / Europe / European | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Illegal Immigrant / Illegal Alien | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| JD / Vance | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Luigi / Mangione | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mamdani / New York | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Marxist / Marxism | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Third World War / World War III | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ukraine | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Working Class / Middle Class | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-steve-bannon-say-at-americafest-on-december-19 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP