Will “Ukraine / Ukrainian” be said on Lemonade Stand next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Ukraine / Ukrainian” was said on Lemonade Stand in 6 of 6 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jul 1, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 14, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 84% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 2, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 5.
- Last 10
- 6/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 6 times
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceLemonade Stand
Ukraine / Ukrainian
- Probability
- 84% · n=6
- Settled
- 6/6 (100%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 5 of 8
Next listing counts: anyone
Counts: anyone
7 counted.
…precedent because we've had sanctions on Russia since the beginning of the Ukraine war. And we have not been accepting any of their diesel fuel…
Ukraine, not super happy with this because what does it mean? It means an upwards of $4 billion going to their war adversary right now.…
Counts: anyone
2 counted.
…was cool. I like that all those Nordic funbacks end up in Ukraine eventually. You know there's other countries, Hayden. Not just Ukraine and Russia…
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Ukraine / Ukrainian | Yes | 7 | |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Ukraine / Ukrainian | Yes | 2 | |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Ukraine / Ukrainian | Yes | – | |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Ukraine / Ukrainian | Yes | – | |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Ukraine / Ukrainian | Yes | – | |
| Jul 1, 2026 | Ukraine / Ukrainian | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often is “Ukraine / Ukrainian” said on Lemonade Stand?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Ukraine / Ukrainian” was said on Lemonade Stand in 6 of 6 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jul 1, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 14, 2026.
- What is the probability “Ukraine / Ukrainian” is said on Lemonade Stand next time?
- 84%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “Lemonade Stand: ‘Ukraine / Ukrainian’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/lemonade-stand/words/ukraine-or-ukrainian (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=lemonade-stand&word=ukraine%20%2F%20ukrainian · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=lemonade-stand&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP