Will “Ukraine / Ukrainian” be said on Lemonade Stand next time?

As of Oct 25, 2026, “Ukraine / Ukrainian” was said on Lemonade Stand in 6 of 6 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jul 1, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 14, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 84% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 2, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 5.

84%from settlement history only · n=6counts: anyone
Last 10
6/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 6 times
Counts
anyone
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Lemonade Stand

Ukraine / Ukrainian

Probability
84% · n=6
Settled
6/6 (100%)
Last 8 episodes
said in 5 of 8

Next listing counts: anyone

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 21) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 14) · said 7 times (counts)

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Counts: anyone

7 counted.

Speaker not labelled3:04In transcript

…precedent because we've had sanctions on Russia since the beginning of the Ukraine war. And we have not been accepting any of their diesel fuel…

Speaker not labelled3:47In transcript

Ukraine, not super happy with this because what does it mean? It means an upwards of $4 billion going to their war adversary right now.…

Every match in the transcript

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 7) · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: anyone

2 counted.

Speaker not labelled1:24:40In transcript

…was cool. I like that all those Nordic funbacks end up in Ukraine eventually. You know there's other countries, Hayden. Not just Ukraine and Russia…

Every match in the transcript

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 30) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 23) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 16) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 9) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 2) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (August 26) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (August 12) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 6 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 14, 2026Ukraine / UkrainianPolymarketYes7
Oct 7, 2026Ukraine / UkrainianPolymarketYes2
Jul 29, 2026Ukraine / UkrainianPolymarketYes–
Jul 15, 2026Ukraine / UkrainianPolymarketYes–
Jul 8, 2026Ukraine / UkrainianPolymarketYes–
Jul 1, 2026Ukraine / UkrainianPolymarketYes–

Questions

How often is “Ukraine / Ukrainian” said on Lemonade Stand?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Ukraine / Ukrainian” was said on Lemonade Stand in 6 of 6 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jul 1, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 14, 2026.
What is the probability “Ukraine / Ukrainian” is said on Lemonade Stand next time?
84%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Cite parrot.markets, “Lemonade Stand: ‘Ukraine / Ukrainian’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/lemonade-stand/words/ukraine-or-ukrainian (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=lemonade-stand&word=ukraine%20%2F%20ukrainian · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=lemonade-stand&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP