Will “Russia” be said on Lemonade Stand next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Russia” was said on Lemonade Stand in the only episode with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 13, 2026.

Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 2, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 4.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
anyone
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Lemonade Stand

Russia

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last 8 episodes
said in 4 of 8

Next listing counts: anyone

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Speaker not labelledLemonade Stand (Vox Media), October 14, 2026 · Oct 14, 2026 · 2:05In transcript

…great show for you today. We're going to talk about the hilarious Russia deal with Diesel and a Saudi airport attacking bond yields and some…

Speaker not labelledLemonade Stand (Vox Media), October 7, 2026 · Oct 7, 2026 · 29:03In transcript

…This is so new. They don't say this is the suspicion is Russia very obviously because, and this is a weird story that that dovetails…

Speaker not labelledLemonade Stand (Vox Media), September 30, 2026 · Sep 30, 2026 · 41:20In transcript

Picture this. It's the year 1700. Slash lemonade. Slash lemonade. In Russia. You've never seen Gusto in your life. Support for the show comes from…

Speaker not labelledLemonade Stand (Vox Media), September 23, 2026 · Sep 23, 2026 · 39:36In transcript

…guy just they speak French. That's all we know using Claude. I mean, this is like just fucking some guy in Russia typing hack Ukraine.

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 21) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 14) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 7) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 30) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 23) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 16) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 9) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 2) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (August 26) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (August 12) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
May 13, 2026RussiaPolymarketYes

Questions

How often is “Russia” said on Lemonade Stand?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Russia” was said on Lemonade Stand in the only episode with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 13, 2026.
What is the probability “Russia” is said on Lemonade Stand next time?
65%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Cite parrot.markets, “Lemonade Stand: ‘Russia’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/lemonade-stand/words/russia (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=lemonade-stand&word=russia · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=lemonade-stand&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP