Will “Friend” be said on Lemonade Stand next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Friend” was said on Lemonade Stand in the only episode with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 10, 2026.

Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 2, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 8.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
anyone
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Lemonade Stand

Friend

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last 8 episodes
said in 8 of 8

Next listing counts: anyone

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Speaker not labelledLemonade Stand (Vox Media), October 21, 2026 · Oct 21, 2026 · 3:51In transcript

…But yeah, I don't know. I'm a I'm a YouTuber. Um I own a media company. I'm in a group channel called Bunch of Friends.

Speaker not labelledLemonade Stand (Vox Media), October 14, 2026 · Oct 14, 2026 · 0:06In transcript

…Garten, and each week on Happy Hour, I invite new and old friends for a drink and a fun conversation at my kitchen table in…

Speaker not labelledLemonade Stand (Vox Media), October 7, 2026 · Oct 7, 2026 · 38:33In transcript

this area anymore. Uh, so I wanted to ask my friend who is from the West bank and now lives in the U S do…

Speaker not labelledLemonade Stand (Vox Media), September 30, 2026 · Sep 30, 2026 · 5:23In transcript

We'd evangelize to our friends, we'd go on to message boards, and we'd write big posts about different ideas that they could do, or we'd…

Speaker not labelledLemonade Stand (Vox Media), September 23, 2026 · Sep 23, 2026 · 2:39In transcript

…Bill Hill, is now sending text blasts to people in Alaska saying, friends, don't let friends vote for a fake Democrat. And it's a link…

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 21) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 14) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 7) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 30) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 23) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 16) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 9) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 2) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (August 26) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (August 12) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jun 10, 2026FriendPolymarketYes

Questions

How often is “Friend” said on Lemonade Stand?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Friend” was said on Lemonade Stand in the only episode with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 10, 2026.
What is the probability “Friend” is said on Lemonade Stand next time?
65%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Cite parrot.markets, “Lemonade Stand: ‘Friend’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/lemonade-stand/words/friend (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=lemonade-stand&word=friend · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=lemonade-stand&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP