Will “Balanced” be said on Lemonade Stand next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Balanced” was not said on Lemonade Stand in the only episode with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 27, 2026.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 2, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 2.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Lemonade Stand
Balanced
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: anyone
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…Let's not focus on the numbers. It was part of an overall balanced portfolio. We have no idea how Doug was doing during the middle…
…budget cap. The budget cap came in 2023, and it got more balanced. Not that it made it any easier, but at least there was…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 27, 2026 | Balanced |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often is “Balanced” said on Lemonade Stand?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Balanced” was not said on Lemonade Stand in the only episode with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 27, 2026.
- What is the probability “Balanced” is said on Lemonade Stand next time?
- 46%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “Lemonade Stand: ‘Balanced’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/lemonade-stand/words/balanced (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=lemonade-stand&word=balanced · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=lemonade-stand&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP