Jack Posobiec

Podcasts · Political commentatorsPersonHistory onlyUpdated Oct 25, 2026, 00:51 UTC

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As of Oct 25, 2026, Kalshi has settled 21 word markets on Jack Posobiec’s appearances since 2026, on 14 different words.

History Wall

1–15 of 15, most settled first

Jack Posobiec: every word with settled markets, most settled first

Word	Mar 27speech	Apr 2latest	Last 2	Settled	Probability
Debate / Debated	YSettled yes: Debate / Debated, Mar 27 speech	YSettled yes: Debate / Debated, Apr 2 remarks	2/2100%	2/2100%	54%n=2 from settlement history
Free Speech / Freedom of Speech	YSettled yes: Free Speech / Freedom of Speech, Mar 27 speech	YSettled yes: Free Speech / Freedom of Speech, Apr 2 remarks	2/2100%	2/2100%	54%n=2 from settlement history
TikTok / Social Media	YSettled yes: TikTok / Social Media, Mar 27 speech	NSettled no: TikTok / Social Media, Apr 2 remarks	1/250%	1/250%	36%n=2 from settlement history
America First	NSettled no: America First, Mar 27 speech	NSettled no: America First, Apr 2 remarks	0/20%	0/20%	28%n=2 from settlement history
Biden	NSettled no: Biden, Mar 27 speech	NSettled no: Biden, Apr 2 remarks	0/20%	0/20%	28%n=2 from settlement history
Iran	NSettled no: Iran, Mar 27 speech	NSettled no: Iran, Apr 2 remarks	0/20%	0/20%	28%n=2 from settlement history
Erika	YSettled yes: Erika, Mar 27 speech	–Not listed: Erika, Apr 2 remarks	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Border	NSettled no: Border, Mar 27 speech	–Not listed: Border, Apr 2 remarks	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
China	NSettled no: China, Mar 27 speech	–Not listed: China, Apr 2 remarks	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Democrat	–Not listed: Democrat, Mar 27 speech	NSettled no: Democrat, Apr 2 remarks	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Illegal Alien	–Not listed: Illegal Alien, Mar 27 speech	NSettled no: Illegal Alien, Apr 2 remarks	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Muslim / Islam / Islamic	–Not listed: Muslim / Islam / Islamic, Mar 27 speech	NSettled no: Muslim / Islam / Islamic, Apr 2 remarks	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Jesus	–Not listed: Jesus, Mar 27 speech	NSettled no: Jesus, Apr 2 remarks	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Trump	–Not listed: Trump, Mar 27 speech	NSettled no: Trump, Apr 2 remarks	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Trump3+ times	NSettled no: Trump (3+ times), Mar 27 speech	–Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Apr 2 remarks	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability

• Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
• N: settled no
• not listed
• probability next time, with n
• Select a word or a cell for its quotes

What the columns mean

Last N

of the appearances shown, how many counted as said

Settled

every settled market of the word: said / listed

Probability

the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

Citeparrot.markets, “Jack Posobiec: mention market word history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/jack-posobiec (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/jack-posobiec · words: /api/v1/history?entity=jack-posobiec · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP