Will Jack Posobiec say “TikTok / Social Media”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Jack Posobiec said “TikTok / Social Media” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 27, 2026 (50%), most recently on Mar 27, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 36% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Jack Posobiec
TikTok / Social Media
- Probability
- 36% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Jack Posobiec yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2026 | TikTok / Social Media |  Kalshi | No |
| Mar 27, 2026 | TikTok / Social Media | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Jack Posobiec say “TikTok / Social Media”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Jack Posobiec said “TikTok / Social Media” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 27, 2026 (50%), most recently on Mar 27, 2026.
- What is the probability Jack Posobiec says “TikTok / Social Media” next time?
- 36%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Jack Posobiec: ‘TikTok / Social Media’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/jack-posobiec/words/social-media-or-tiktok (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jack-posobiec&word=social%20media%20%2F%20tiktok · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jack-posobiec&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP