Will Jack Posobiec say “Biden”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Jack Posobiec did not say “Biden” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 27, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 28% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

28%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Jack Posobiec

Biden

Probability
28% · n=2
Settled
0/2 (0%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Jack Posobiec yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Jack Posobiec say during the Turning Point Tour? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Jack Posobiec say during his CPAC speech? · settled no

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Apr 2, 2026BidenKalshiNo
Mar 27, 2026BidenKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Jack Posobiec say “Biden”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Jack Posobiec did not say “Biden” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 27, 2026.
What is the probability Jack Posobiec says “Biden” next time?
28%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Jack Posobiec: ‘Biden’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/jack-posobiec/words/biden (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jack-posobiec&word=biden · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jack-posobiec&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP