What is the probability “Soccer” is said on Hot Ones next time?

33%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Name: Hot Ones: “Soccer” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Soccer” was not said on Hot Ones at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 23, 2026.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 03:29 UTC

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Hot Ones

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Hot Ones yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Jon Bernthal or Tom Holland say on Hot Ones? · settled no

What will Daniel Radcliffe say on Hot Ones? · not listed

newest first · 1 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result
Jul 23, 2026	Soccer	Polymarket	No

How often is “Soccer” said on Hot Ones?: As of Oct 24, 2026, “Soccer” was not said on Hot Ones at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 23, 2026.
What is the probability “Soccer” is said on Hot Ones next time?: 33%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Hot Ones: ‘Soccer’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/hot-ones/words/soccer (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=hot-ones&word=soccer · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=hot-ones&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP