Hot Ones: Episode, Feb 19, 2026
Polymarket What will Daniel Radcliffe say on Hot Ones?
Markets
22 words · 9 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Again | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Broadway | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crazy | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Da Bomb | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Emma / Watson | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Film / Movie | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Michael / Dumbledore | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Milk / Ice Cream 3+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| One Bite | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Beast | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Carolina Reaper | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Elijah Wood | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gauntlet | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Grammy / Tony | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Harry Potter | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Keke / Palmer | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Kid / Son | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| London | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pandemic / Covid | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Sauce 5+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Scoville | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Wing 10+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-daniel-radcliffe-say-on-hot-ones · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP