Hot Ones
As of Oct 24, 2026, Polymarket has settled 43 word markets on Hot Ones since 2026, on 42 different words.
History Wall
1–40 of 42, most settled first · page 1 of 2| Word | Feb 19episode | Jul 23latest | Last 2 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scoville | Settled no: Scoville, Feb 19 episode | Settled no: Scoville, Jul 23 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | 28%n=2 from settlement history |
| Again | Settled yes: Again, Feb 19 episode | Not listed: Again, Jul 23 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Broadway | Settled yes: Broadway, Feb 19 episode | Not listed: Broadway, Jul 23 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Brother | Not listed: Brother, Feb 19 episode | Settled yes: Brother, Jul 23 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Crazy | Settled yes: Crazy, Feb 19 episode | Not listed: Crazy, Jul 23 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Da Bomb | Settled yes: Da Bomb, Feb 19 episode | Not listed: Da Bomb, Jul 23 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Michael / Dumbledore | Settled yes: Michael / Dumbledore, Feb 19 episode | Not listed: Michael / Dumbledore, Jul 23 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Emma / Watson | Settled yes: Emma / Watson, Feb 19 episode | Not listed: Emma / Watson, Jul 23 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Film / Movie | Settled yes: Film / Movie, Feb 19 episode | Not listed: Film / Movie, Jul 23 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Fuck / Fucking5+ times | Not listed: Fuck / Fucking 5+ times, Feb 19 episode | Settled yes: Fuck / Fucking 5+ times, Jul 23 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Milk / Ice Cream3+ times | Settled yes: Milk / Ice Cream 3+ times, Feb 19 episode | Not listed: Milk / Ice Cream 3+ times, Jul 23 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Marvel | Not listed: Marvel, Feb 19 episode | Settled yes: Marvel, Jul 23 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Milk3+ times | Not listed: Milk 3+ times, Feb 19 episode | Settled yes: Milk 3+ times, Jul 23 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Morocco | Not listed: Morocco, Feb 19 episode | Settled yes: Morocco, Jul 23 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Odyssey | Not listed: Odyssey, Feb 19 episode | Settled yes: Odyssey, Jul 23 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| One Bite | Settled yes: One Bite, Feb 19 episode | Not listed: One Bite, Jul 23 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Punisher | Not listed: Punisher, Feb 19 episode | Settled yes: Punisher, Jul 23 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Spider / Spider-man5+ times | Not listed: Spider / Spider-man 5+ times, Feb 19 episode | Settled yes: Spider / Spider-man 5+ times, Jul 23 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Beast | Settled no: Beast, Feb 19 episode | Not listed: Beast, Jul 23 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Brother / Mate10+ times | Not listed: Brother / Mate 10+ times, Feb 19 episode | Settled no: Brother / Mate 10+ times, Jul 23 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Carolina Reaper | Settled no: Carolina Reaper, Feb 19 episode | Not listed: Carolina Reaper, Jul 23 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Pandemic / Covid | Settled no: Pandemic / Covid, Feb 19 episode | Not listed: Pandemic / Covid, Jul 23 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Elijah Wood | Settled no: Elijah Wood, Feb 19 episode | Not listed: Elijah Wood, Jul 23 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Fire | Not listed: Fire, Feb 19 episode | Settled no: Fire, Jul 23 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Gauntlet | Settled no: Gauntlet, Feb 19 episode | Not listed: Gauntlet, Jul 23 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Grammy / Tony | Settled no: Grammy / Tony, Feb 19 episode | Not listed: Grammy / Tony, Jul 23 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Grey / Gray | Not listed: Grey / Gray, Feb 19 episode | Settled no: Grey / Gray, Jul 23 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Harry Potter | Settled no: Harry Potter, Feb 19 episode | Not listed: Harry Potter, Jul 23 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Hollywood | Not listed: Hollywood, Feb 19 episode | Settled no: Hollywood, Jul 23 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Ice Cream | Not listed: Ice Cream, Feb 19 episode | Settled no: Ice Cream, Jul 23 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Keke / Palmer | Settled no: Keke / Palmer, Feb 19 episode | Not listed: Keke / Palmer, Jul 23 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Kid / Son | Settled no: Kid / Son, Feb 19 episode | Not listed: Kid / Son, Jul 23 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| London | Settled no: London, Feb 19 episode | Not listed: London, Jul 23 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Pitbull | Not listed: Pitbull, Feb 19 episode | Settled no: Pitbull, Jul 23 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Sauce5+ times | Settled no: Sauce 5+ times, Feb 19 episode | Not listed: Sauce 5+ times, Jul 23 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Soccer | Not listed: Soccer, Feb 19 episode | Settled no: Soccer, Jul 23 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Timothy | Not listed: Timothy, Feb 19 episode | Settled no: Timothy, Jul 23 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Uncharted | Not listed: Uncharted, Feb 19 episode | Settled no: Uncharted, Jul 23 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Wedding | Not listed: Wedding, Feb 19 episode | Settled no: Wedding, Jul 23 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Wing10+ times | Settled no: Wing 10+ times, Feb 19 episode | Not listed: Wing 10+ times, Jul 23 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 2Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.
Citeparrot.markets, “Hot Ones: mention market word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/hot-ones (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/hot-ones · words: /api/v1/history?entity=hot-ones · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP