Erika Kirk

Podcasts · Political commentatorsPersonHistory onlyUpdated Oct 24, 2026, 03:24 UTC

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As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 32 word markets on Erika Kirk’s appearances since 2025, on 15 different words.

History Wall

1–15 of 15, most settled first

Erika Kirk: every word with settled markets, most settled first

Word	Dec 4 ’25keynote	Dec 10interview	Feb 5 ’26latest	Last 3	Settled	Probability
College / Campus	YSettled yes: College / Campus, Dec 4 ’25 keynote	YSettled yes: College / Campus, Dec 10 interview	YSettled yes: College / Campus, Feb 5 ’26 interview	3/3100%	3/3100%	61%n=3 from settlement history
Turning Point	YSettled yes: Turning Point, Dec 4 ’25 keynote	YSettled yes: Turning Point, Dec 10 interview	YSettled yes: Turning Point, Feb 5 ’26 interview	3/3100%	3/3100%	61%n=3 from settlement history
Trump	YSettled yes: Trump, Dec 4 ’25 keynote	YSettled yes: Trump, Dec 10 interview	NSettled no: Trump, Feb 5 ’26 interview	2/367%	2/367%	45%n=3 from settlement history
Debate	YSettled yes: Debate, Dec 4 ’25 keynote	NSettled no: Debate, Dec 10 interview	NSettled no: Debate, Feb 5 ’26 interview	1/333%	1/333%	30%n=3 from settlement history
JD / Vance	YSettled yes: JD / Vance, Dec 4 ’25 keynote	NSettled no: JD / Vance, Dec 10 interview	NSettled no: JD / Vance, Feb 5 ’26 interview	1/333%	1/333%	30%n=3 from settlement history
Free Speech / Freedom of Speech	NSettled no: Free Speech / Freedom of Speech, Dec 4 ’25 keynote	NSettled no: Free Speech / Freedom of Speech, Dec 10 interview	NSettled no: Free Speech / Freedom of Speech, Feb 5 ’26 interview	0/30%	0/30%	23%n=3 from settlement history
Heaven	NSettled no: Heaven, Dec 4 ’25 keynote	NSettled no: Heaven, Dec 10 interview	NSettled no: Heaven, Feb 5 ’26 interview	0/30%	0/30%	23%n=3 from settlement history
Patriot	NSettled no: Patriot, Dec 4 ’25 keynote	NSettled no: Patriot, Dec 10 interview	NSettled no: Patriot, Feb 5 ’26 interview	0/30%	0/30%	23%n=3 from settlement history
Political Violence	NSettled no: Political Violence, Dec 4 ’25 keynote	–Not listed: Political Violence, Dec 10 interview	NSettled no: Political Violence, Feb 5 ’26 interview	0/20%	0/20%	28%n=2 from settlement history
God / Faith	YSettled yes: God / Faith, Dec 4 ’25 keynote	–Not listed: God / Faith, Dec 10 interview	–Not listed: God / Faith, Feb 5 ’26 interview	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
America Fest	–Not listed: America Fest, Dec 4 ’25 keynote	NSettled no: America Fest, Dec 10 interview	–Not listed: America Fest, Feb 5 ’26 interview	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Assassination / Assassinated	NSettled no: Assassination / Assassinated, Dec 4 ’25 keynote	–Not listed: Assassination / Assassinated, Dec 10 interview	–Not listed: Assassination / Assassinated, Feb 5 ’26 interview	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Enemy	NSettled no: Enemy, Dec 4 ’25 keynote	–Not listed: Enemy, Dec 10 interview	–Not listed: Enemy, Feb 5 ’26 interview	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Pregnant / Pregnancy	–Not listed: Pregnant / Pregnancy, Dec 4 ’25 keynote	–Not listed: Pregnant / Pregnancy, Dec 10 interview	NSettled no: Pregnant / Pregnancy, Feb 5 ’26 interview	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Student	–Not listed: Student, Dec 4 ’25 keynote	NSettled no: Student, Dec 10 interview	–Not listed: Student, Feb 5 ’26 interview	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability

• Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
• N: settled no
• not listed
• probability next time, with n
• Select a word or a cell for its quotes

What the columns mean

Last N

of the appearances shown, how many counted as said

Settled

every settled market of the word: said / listed

Probability

the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

Citeparrot.markets, “Erika Kirk: mention market word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/erika-kirk (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/erika-kirk · words: /api/v1/history?entity=erika-kirk · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP