Will Erika Kirk say “Political Violence”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Erika Kirk did not say “Political Violence” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Dec 4, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 28% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Erika Kirk
Political Violence
- Probability
- 28% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Erika Kirk yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | Political Violence |  Kalshi | No |
| Dec 4, 2025 | Political Violence | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Erika Kirk say “Political Violence”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Erika Kirk did not say “Political Violence” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Dec 4, 2025.
- What is the probability Erika Kirk says “Political Violence” next time?
- 28%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Erika Kirk: ‘Political Violence’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/erika-kirk/words/political-violence (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=erika-kirk&word=political%20violence · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=erika-kirk&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP