Will Dan Bongino say “Trump”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Dan Bongino said “Trump” at 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 8, 2026 (50%), most recently on Feb 2, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 56% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Aug 26, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Dan Bongino
Trump
- Probability
- 56% · n=4
- Settled
- 2/4 (50%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 0 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Dan Bongino say “Trump”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Dan Bongino said “Trump” at 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 8, 2026 (50%), most recently on Feb 2, 2026.
- What is the probability Dan Bongino says “Trump” next time?
- 56%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Dan Bongino: ‘Trump’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/dan-bongino/words/trump (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=dan-bongino&word=trump · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=dan-bongino&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP