Will Dan Bongino say “Deep State”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Dan Bongino said “Deep State” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 3, 2026.
In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Aug 26, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
–too little history for a probability (n=1)
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Last said
- Feb 2, 2026
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Dan Bongino
Deep State
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 0 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | Deep State |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Dan Bongino say “Deep State”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Dan Bongino said “Deep State” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 3, 2026.
- What is the probability Dan Bongino says “Deep State” next time?
- 58%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Dan Bongino: ‘Deep State’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/dan-bongino/words/deep-state (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=dan-bongino&word=deep%20state · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=dan-bongino&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP