Will Dan Bongino say “Blackpill / Blackpiller”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Dan Bongino said “Blackpill / Blackpiller” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 3, 2026 (50%), most recently on Feb 2, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 49% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Aug 26, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Dan Bongino
Blackpill / Blackpiller
- Probability
- 49% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 0 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2026 | Blackpill / Blackpiller |  Kalshi | No |
| Feb 3, 2026 | Blackpill / Blackpiller | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Dan Bongino say “Blackpill / Blackpiller”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Dan Bongino said “Blackpill / Blackpiller” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 3, 2026 (50%), most recently on Feb 2, 2026.
- What is the probability Dan Bongino says “Blackpill / Blackpiller” next time?
- 49%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Dan Bongino: ‘Blackpill / Blackpiller’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/dan-bongino/words/blackpill-or-blackpiller (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=dan-bongino&word=blackpill%20%2F%20blackpiller · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=dan-bongino&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP