Will Dan Bongino say “America First”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Dan Bongino did not say “America First” at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 8, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 33% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Aug 26, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Dan Bongino
America First
- Probability
- 33% · n=3
- Settled
- 0/3 (0%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 0 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | America First |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Feb 3, 2026 | America First | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jan 8, 2026 | America First | Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Dan Bongino say “America First”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Dan Bongino did not say “America First” at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 8, 2026.
- What is the probability Dan Bongino says “America First” next time?
- 33%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Dan Bongino: ‘America First’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/dan-bongino/words/america-first (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=dan-bongino&word=america%20first · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=dan-bongino&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP