What is the probability “Vaccine / Vaccination” is said on World News Tonight next time?

39%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: any host or reporter.

Will “Vaccine / Vaccination” be said on World News Tonight next time?

Name: World News Tonight: “Vaccine / Vaccination” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 26, 2026, “Vaccine / Vaccination” was not said on World News Tonight in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 11, 2026.

Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Oct 13, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, any host or reporter) in 1.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Last 10: 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak: not said last time
Counts: any host or reporter

Updated Oct 26, 2026, 14:23 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

ABC World News Tonight

Vaccine / Vaccination

Probability: – · n=1 (too little history)
Settled: 0/1 (0%)
Last 8 episodes: said in 1 of 8

Next listing counts: any host or reporter

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Speaker not labelledreporterABC World News Tonight, October 23, 2026 · Oct 23, 2026 · 16:29In transcript

…CANCER. PHARMACEUTICAL COMPANIES MERCK AND MODERNA CONDUCTING CLINICAL TRIALS OF AN MRNA VACCINE, FINDING PATIENTS WHO HAD TUMORS REMOVED AND GOT THE VACCINE WERE 42%…