Will “Sanction / Tariff” be said on World News Tonight next time?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Sanction / Tariff” was not said on World News Tonight in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 1, 2026.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Oct 13, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, any host or reporter) in 3.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- any host or reporter
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
ABC World News Tonight
Sanction / Tariff
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: any host or reporter
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…VISIT TO IOWA TONIGHT. YOU'RE GLAD TO HAVE HIM BACK HERE. WHY? TARIFFS HAVE DISPROPORTIONATELY AFFECTED IOWA MORE THAN ANY OTHER STATE. AND I THINK…
…sell diesel to the US and signed an executive order suspending US sanctions against Putin that had been approved by Congress. President Trump today saying…
…new russian attacks tonight after president trump signed an executive order suspending sanctions against vladimir putin and look at this tonight the remarkable moment a…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2026 | Sanction / Tariff |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Sanction / Tariff” said on World News Tonight?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “Sanction / Tariff” was not said on World News Tonight in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 1, 2026.
- What is the probability “Sanction / Tariff” is said on World News Tonight next time?
- 38%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any host or reporter.
Cite parrot.markets, “World News Tonight: ‘Sanction / Tariff’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/world-news-tonight/words/sanction-or-tariff (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=world-news-tonight&word=sanction%20%2F%20tariff · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=world-news-tonight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP