Will “Plane / Seaplane” be said on World News Tonight next time?
As of Oct 27, 2026, “Plane / Seaplane” was not said on World News Tonight in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 25, 2026.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Oct 14, 2026 – Oct 26, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, any host or reporter) in 5.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- any host or reporter
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
ABC World News Tonight
Plane / Seaplane
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 5 of 8
Next listing counts: any host or reporter
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…Here's Gio Benitez. Tonight, the terrifying text message forcing a United Airlines plane to make an emergency landing. The flight attendant saw him texting that…
TONIGHT. A SMALL PLANE CRASH LANDING ON I-80 OUTSIDE RENO, NEVADA. THE PICTURES HERE FORCING THE CLOSURE OF WESTBOUND LANES ON THE BUSY HIGHWAY. AUTHORITIES…
…Hubbert, the school teacher who was wrongfully detained in Russia for four years on a plane bound for the US, smiling, holding an American flag.
all of these planes you see behind me, that's when they really get busy. After nightfall, we head to the flight deck. American fighter jets…
…Pope Leo. Tom, thank you again. Meantime, back here in the U.S. tonight, the NTSB now investigating a deadly plane crash north of Madison, Wisconsin.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Plane / Seaplane |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often is “Plane / Seaplane” said on World News Tonight?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, “Plane / Seaplane” was not said on World News Tonight in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 25, 2026.
- What is the probability “Plane / Seaplane” is said on World News Tonight next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any host or reporter.
Cite parrot.markets, “World News Tonight: ‘Plane / Seaplane’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/world-news-tonight/words/plane-or-seaplane (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=world-news-tonight&word=plane%20%2F%20seaplane · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=world-news-tonight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP