Will “Fourth Term” be said on World News Tonight next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Fourth Term” was not said on World News Tonight in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 25, 2026.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Oct 13, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, any host or reporter) in 0.
–too little history for a probability (n=1)
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- any host or reporter
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
ABC World News Tonight
Fourth Term
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: any host or reporter
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Fourth Term |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often is “Fourth Term” said on World News Tonight?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Fourth Term” was not said on World News Tonight in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 25, 2026.
- What is the probability “Fourth Term” is said on World News Tonight next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any host or reporter.
Cite parrot.markets, “World News Tonight: ‘Fourth Term’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/world-news-tonight/words/fourth-term (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=world-news-tonight&word=fourth%20term · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=world-news-tonight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP