What is the probability “Fort Hood / Pentagon” is said on World News Tonight next time?

36%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: any host or reporter.

Will “Fort Hood / Pentagon” be said on World News Tonight next time?

Name: World News Tonight: “Fort Hood / Pentagon” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 27, 2026, “Fort Hood / Pentagon” was not said on World News Tonight in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 7, 2026.

Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Oct 14, 2026 – Oct 26, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, any host or reporter) in 2.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Last 10: 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak: not said last time
Counts: any host or reporter

Updated Oct 27, 2026, 09:17 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

ABC World News Tonight

Fort Hood / Pentagon

Probability: – · n=1 (too little history)
Settled: 0/1 (0%)
Last 8 episodes: said in 2 of 8

Next listing counts: any host or reporter

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Speaker not labelledreporterABC World News Tonight, October 16, 2026 · Oct 16, 2026 · 15:40In transcript

…the USS George Washington aircraft carrier near the Strait of Hormuz, the Pentagon saying the U.S. blockade on Iranian oil being enforced by this strike…

Speaker not labelledreporterABC World News Tonight, October 15, 2026 · Oct 15, 2026 · 1:24In transcript

…right now. Also breaking tonight amid the outrage, President Trump has now halted the plan to live stream the execution of the Fort Hood shooter.