Will “Fire / Wildfire” be said on World News Tonight next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Fire / Wildfire” was said on World News Tonight in 2 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 14, 2026 (100%), most recently on Aug 4, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 45% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Oct 12, 2026 – Oct 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, any host or reporter) in 8. 1 later episode without a transcript yet (Oct 23, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- any host or reporter
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
ABC World News Tonight
Fire / Wildfire
- Probability
- 45% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 8 of 8
Next listing counts: any host or reporter
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…LANE. PROSECUTORS SAY THAT SUSPECT, 62 YEAR OLD VICTOR ROMERO, FIRST TAILED, THEN PULLED ALONGSIDE IRVINE'S CAR BEFORE OPENING FIRE THROUGH THE BACK PASSENGER WINDOW.
…lot, killing a one-year-old boy in his mother's lap. An officer opening fire at the car. Tonight, the surveillance showing a suspect allegedly attempting to…
Underwritten by Farmers Truck or Fire Insurance Exchanges or Affiliate. Products not available in every state. David Muir, ABC's World News Tonight, America's most watched…
Multiple fires erupting in Southern California. Homes up in flames. And the severe thunderstorm watch up right now for the Northeast. The storm set to…
…a truck riddled with bullets after a witness says the shooter opened fire on the driver. Some 911 callers then reported the shooter was inside…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | Fire / Wildfire |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Wildfire / Fire | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Fire / Wildfire” said on World News Tonight?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Fire / Wildfire” was said on World News Tonight in 2 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 14, 2026 (100%), most recently on Aug 4, 2026.
- What is the probability “Fire / Wildfire” is said on World News Tonight next time?
- 45%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any host or reporter.
Cite parrot.markets, “World News Tonight: ‘Fire / Wildfire’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/world-news-tonight/words/fire-or-wildfire (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=world-news-tonight&word=fire%20%2F%20wildfire · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=world-news-tonight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP